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UID:pretalx-foss4g-europe-2025-7WXHLS@talks.staging.osgeo.org
DTSTART;TZID=CET:20250717T110000
DTEND;TZID=CET:20250717T113000
DESCRIPTION:Palaeogeography is the study of past geography\, focusing on th
 e physical landscapes\, climate\, and environments of the Earth in past ov
 er geological periods. It reconstructs the positions of continents\, ocean
 s\, mountain ranges\, and ecosystems over millions of years\, helping scie
 ntists understand plate tectonics\, past climates\, and the evolution of l
 ife.\nPalaeogeographic maps can be generated with qualitative to semi-quan
 titative methods\, for instance by discriminating between oceans\, coastal
  and land areas\, or can be fully quantified\, with each pixel of the map 
 being assigned a specific elevation value.  Unlike other plate tectonic mo
 dels\, PANALESIS is able to depict fully quantified palaeogeographic maps 
 at 0.1° x 0.1° resolution from 545 million years ago until present-day\,
  in ca.10-million-year time steps.\nPalaeogeography can also be leveraged 
 to estimate sea-level variations. By calculating the oceans volumes\, and 
 comparing them to the present-day volume\, we can quantify the increase or
  decrease in sea-level required to match this reference. These sea-level v
 ariations can then be compared and validated against estimates from other 
 plate tectonic models\, and with other methods such as stratigraphic studi
 es.\nAn initial sea-level curved based on PANALESIS was published in 2015 
 (Vérard et al.\, 2015). The methodology was never published in detail and
  was running on ArcGIS\, using a now obsolete system that cannot be run an
 ymore. This implies that it is not possible to reproduce or verify these r
 esults.\nTo address this\, we have entirely rewritten and enhanced the sou
 rce code into a QGIS plugin named TopoChronia. With this paper\, we presen
 t the new sea-level curve derived from the new palaeogeographic maps and c
 ompare them with other data from the literature\, including the 2015 PANAL
 ESIS data.\nWe also highlight critical issues that impacted this transitio
 n to open-source and open science in general\, including input data and so
 urce code management practices\, mismatch between published results\, inpu
 t data and code\, as well as methodological errors\, and the way towards F
 AIR compliance.\nWe use a straightforward methodology\, which converts the
  model input lines into points\, to each of which is assigned an elevation
  value based on modelling of the geological (or tectonic) setting they bel
 ong to (Vérard\, 2017). Settings include for instance collision and subdu
 ction zones\, active or passive margins and mid-oceanic ridges. \nA global
  raster is then interpolated form these points using the QGIS Triangulated
  Irregular Network (TIN) method\, as it has shown to perform well in these
  circumstances (Franziskakis et al.\, in prep). From this global raster\, 
 we calculate the volume below the elevation of 0m and compare it with the 
 present-day volume of oceans. \nAssuming a constant oceanic volume through
  time\, we can therefore estimate the required increase or decrease in sea
 -level required to match this volume\, using Allen & Allen (Allen & Allen\
 , 2005) equations. These equations divide the newly added water column hei
 ght into an increase of water above initial sea-level (∆SL) and the subs
 idence (S) of oceanic floor caused by the added water. \nWe compare the PA
 NALESIS v0 results (spanning form 545Ma to present-day) and we also includ
 e the PANALESIS v1 results\, currently spanning form 888Ma to 330Ma.\nOver
 all\, both the original and the new v0 seem to follow similar tendencies\,
  but with differences in amplitude. The original PANALESIS curve shows low
 er values compared to the new one\, with a median value of +45m. This can 
 be explained by a few factors\, including:\n1.	The reference volume used i
 n 2025 is based on the ETOPO volume under z = 0m\, whereas the 2015 refere
 nce volume was the 000 Ma (present-day) PANALESIS reconstruction volume\, 
 which was significantly higher than ETOPO.\n2.	The method to calculate the
  required sea-level rise has changed. For the original version\, a 0.55 ra
 tio of the added water column height was used\, whereas now the rise is fo
 llowing Allen & Allen equations\, which approximates a higher ratio of 0.6
 9. This leads to a 25% higher final sea-level increase.\n3.	The input data
  has since changed. Modifications have been made to some features (e.g. as
 signing a younger age to a feature)\, leading to large areas being shallow
 er than previously\, as depth is primarily controlled by age. \n4.	A diffe
 rent interpolation method was used\, previously Natural Neighbour from Arc
 GIS\, and now replaced by QGIS TIN.\nThe v1 curve also differs from the v0
  ones as the newest version of the model has been strongly enhanced and co
 ntains much more details. However\, the v1 model only spans from 888 to 33
 0 Ma\, allowing comparison only between 330 and 545 Ma.\nImprovements are 
 still required on the palaeogegraphy\, including the incorporation of clim
 ate feedback: simulations for CO2 concentration and precipitation estimate
 s at global scale will help shape better sediment fluxes. It is also impor
 tant to consider ice sheets formation and melting\, strongly controlled by
  the presence or absence of land in polar regions.\nAnother aspect is the 
 quantification of error propagation: starting with the input model (time +
  space)\, points distribution (space)\, interpolation (oceans volume\, sea
 -level)\, orbital parameters related to glacial/interglacial cycles (ocean
 s volume\, sea-level).\nFinally\, the transition to open-source and open d
 ata is necessary and underway to make input and output data available\, al
 ongside the processing software. This has already started by making the To
 poChronia code available online and will contribute to more transparency a
 nd reproducibility.
DTSTAMP:20260527T042044Z
LOCATION:PA01 (Quarticle)
SUMMARY:Comparing 545 Million Years of Sea-Level Change: New insights from 
 the TopoChronia QGIS Plugin - Florian Franziskakis
URL:https://talks.staging.osgeo.org/foss4g-europe-2025/talk/7WXHLS/
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